EURCAD

EURCAD is at major resistance. If it does not break we could see a substantial decline in the future.

CADJPY Update

Well last week we saw the break we were looking for with CADJPY. Once the break occurred, like many of the other currencies. We found a consolidation area form. I will be looking for another break below $82.00. Hopefully this week the moves are a bit more drastic and we see this pair make a run to $80.00.

EUR/NZD

If the EUR/NZD breaks the down trend lines drawn we may see a potential 400 pip run to approximately 2.2470. An additional bullish sign is the double bottom which is identified by the green horizontal line drawn.

AUD/CHF

From a technical stand point it looks like AUD is running out of steam. You will notice on this 8hr chart of AUDCHF, there is a classical Head and Shoulders top forming. We may see the AUDCHF decline to approximately0.8440. If the trend continues to the downside we could see the AUDCHF near 0.8000 in the next week or so.

Bearish Gartley

Many people use Bullish and Bearish Gartley Patterns. They are simple patterns for recognizing potential reversals in the markets. Here is how the pattern works; you will notice each point of the pattern is labeled with X,A,B,C and D. The movement from X to A is essentially showing the direction the chart should travel once the pattern forms point D. With this being a bearish pattern once point D is reached the chart will sell off.

The objective is to find where point D will be so you can buy or sell the currency, stock, future, etc... In order to do this you will need to do some simple math. To calculate point D for Bearish Gartley's you must take the high of B minus the low of A and then add the low of C (high B - low A + low C = D). Essentially AB=CD in price.

Also, to confirm point D is a harmonic area as well as the additional points on the chart (A,B,C), you should use the Fibonacci retracement and extension tool. Hence the ratios noted in the chart. For beginners you may want to google Fibonacci to get a bit of an education on the tool and how it is used.

CAD/JPY

CAD/JPY seems to have met reasonable resistance at 86.00. If it continues to drop and make a bearish run through 84.00 we may see a 400 point decline over the next few days, to one week. Additionally, the stochastics are starting to create a negative slope whcih is indicated by the purple line. Failure to break 84.00 with a continuation down; the pair may find suport and proceed to follow the trend to the upside with potential to break 89.00.